|FRIDAY, AUGUST 1, 2014
PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND NOT QUITE WARM THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORMS AND HEADS TOWARDS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
Mostly cloudy and warm today with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in the upper-80s. We should have southwest winds at 5-10 mph. It will be partly to mostly cloudy and mild tonight with a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Low temperatures will be in the upper-70's. Expect westerly winds at 5-10 mph. Saturday should bring partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures with a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper-80's. Expect northwest winds at 5-10 mph. On Sunday, we should see partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be near 90. Winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph.
SYNOPSIS AND OUTLOOK:A cold front over southeast Texas will push slowly southeast to the coast and stall, bringing an increased chance of rain to the area. Slightly cooler conditions will prevail through Saturday as the front lingers near the coast.
At the surface, a slow moving frontal cold front sits over southeast Texas this morning. The front extends west from a low near Lufkin to west Texas and New Mexico with a low along the New Mexico-Arizona border. Elsewhere, high pressure extends from the central Rockies west to the Great Basin region. To the east, an elongated frontal boundary extends all the way from the extreme southeast Gulf of Mexico, across Florida to a low in southeast Georgia. The front then continues on northeast in the Atlantic off the U.S. East Coast. At the upper-levels, a high pressure ridge lingers over the western third of the U.S. To the east, a low pressure trough continues dipping south across the Ohio and Mississippi Valleys to the southern U.S..
Clouds and some rain chances will prevail through the weekend, along with slightly milder conditions.. The front to our north should move slowly southeast and off the coast by sometime early Saturday. Next week should bring hotter and drier conditions back to the area as high pressure builds back into the region.
We begin the month of August with our second tropical storm of the season.
Tropical Storm Bertha formed east of the southern Windward Islands overnight. At 8 am AST, Bertha was centered near 13.6 N and 57.9 W, or about 110-miles east of Barbados. Maximum sustained winds were estimated at 45-mph and central barometric pressure was 1008 MB (29.77"). The storm was moving west-northwest at 20-mph and Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for Antigua, Barbuda, Martinique, Puerto Rico, Vieques, and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.
Otherwise, the Tropical Atlantic Basin is fairly quiet for the last day of July.