|TUESDAY, OCTOBER 21, 2014
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AND MILD TO WARM TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE
LOW IN BAY OF CAMPECHE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SOMEWHAT HIGHER TIDE LEVELS
Mostly sunny and warm this afternoon. High temperatures will be be in the low-80's. We should have northeast winds winds at 10-15 mph. It will be partly cloudy and cool tonight. Low temperatures will range from the upper-60's in Galveston to the mid-60's on the mainland. Expect easterly winds at 10-15 mph. Wednesday should bring partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures. Highs will be in the low-80's. Expect easterly winds at 10-15 mph. On Thursday, we should see partly cloudy skies and warm afternoon temperatures. Highs will be in the low-80's. Winds will be from the northeast at 10-15 mph.
SYNOPSIS AND OUTLOOK:Fairly pleasant October weather should continue as high pressure dominates our weather. A developing low in the Bay of Campeche will contribute to a brisk easterly flow and somewhat higher tidal levels, but dry air aloft should keep our area rain-free.
High pressure dominates much of the country as we begin the new week. High pressure extends from Louisiana and Mississippi across northeast Texas to eastern Kansas. High pressure also persists over the central Rockies and Four Corners region. A cold front is moving south through the Ohio Valley and eastern Plains, with the front extending from a low over Lake Erie all the way to the prairies of Canada. Further west, a cold front is slowly moving east from southern California to Idaho, Montana and western Canada.
At the upper-levels, we are easing back into a slightly more amplified pattern with a low pressure trough dipping south over the eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Appalachians and a sharp high pressure ridge to the west over the western Great Plains. Further west, a deep low pressure trough is also developing in along the West Coast.
Generally pleasant weather will prevail for most, if not all, of this week with partly cloudy skies, cool to mild nights and warm afternoon temperatures. Another infusion of cool, dry air may appear by the middle of the week, while a low develops in the Bay of Campeche. This will bring a brisk easterly breeze and slightly elevated tide levels to our area.
The main story in the Tropical Atlantic Basin this morning continues to be a disturbance in the Bay of Campeche (93-L). We also are watching an area in the Atlantic that has minor potential for development this coming week.
Currently, the low in the Bay of Campeche has become a little better defined and is being given a 40% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the coming 48-hours and a 50% chance over the coming 5-days. Aircraft may investigate the system later today. Meanwhile, a deep non-tropical low southeast of the Azores in the far eastern Atlantic is being given a 10% chance of becoming a tropical or sub-tropical system over the coming 48-hours and a 10% chance over the next 5-days