|SATURDAY, MAY 30, 2015
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND NOT QUITE SO WARM THROUGH MONDAY WITH SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
Partly cloudy this morning with a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms, becoming mostly cloudy this afternoon with a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Some heavy rain may be possible. High temperatures will be in the low-80's. Expect southerly winds at 5-10 mph.
We should see partly to mostly cloudy skies and mild temperatures tonight with a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms this evening, decreasing to a 50% chance after midnight. Overnight lows should be in the low-70's. Look for southeast winds at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest overnight.
Sunday will bring mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will be in the low-80's. Expect northeast winds at 5-10 mph. On Monday we should see partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in the low-80's. Look for northerly winds at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast later in the day.
SYNOPSIS AND OUTLOOK:
An active cold front is pushing deep into Texas this morning. Showers and thunderstorms are occurring along and ahead of the front. This weather should move into Southeast Texas later today as the front nears the coast with rain likely this afternoon and evening. Heavy rain will be possible over parts of the area.
This morning, a cold front is pushing south into the South Plains and West Central Texas. The elongated cold front extends all the way from New Mexico to Oklahoma, the eastern Plains, the upper-Midwest and the Great Lakes. Surface lows are located ahead of the front over far West Texas, North Central Texas and Arkansas. Elsewhere, high pressure is in control along the East Coast. High pressure is also building into the northern and central Plains behind the front. Further west, low pressure is in control over the Pacific Northwest.
At the upper-levels, we find a high pressure ridge over the eastern third of the U.S., a low pressure trough over the eastern and southern Plains and a developing high pressure ridge along the West Coast.
Rain chances will generally remain high later today into Sunday as a cold front moves south into Texas, reaching the coast by early Sunday. This will set off another round of thunderstorms. Currently it is difficult to tell how much rain will fall as it depends on exactly where the front finally stalls. Nevertheless, some rain is likely on both Saturday and Sunday with heavy downpours possible for some areas.
The Tropical Atlantic Basin remains quiet overall and storm development is not expected at this time.