|TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16, 2014
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER THROUGH TOMORROW WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
Partly to mostly cloudy and warm today with a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in the upper-80's. We should have southeast winds at 5-10 mph. It will be partly to mostly cloudy skies and mild tonight with a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms, increasing to a 40% chance after midnight. Low temperatures will be in the upper-70's. Expect southeast winds at 5-10 mph. Wednesday should bring mostly cloudy skies and warm temperatures with a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper-80's. Expect southeast winds at 5-10 mph. On Thursday, we should see mostly cloudy skies and warm temperatures with a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper-80's. Winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph.
SYNOPSIS AND OUTLOOK:Mostly cloudy skies and periods of showers and thunderstorms are in our picture through Thursday. Moisture from a tropical wave moving ashore over northeast Mexico and deep South Texas, a stationary front to our north and high level moisture moving in from Odile in the Pacific should all contribute to the showery conditions.
A stationary frontal boundary extends east from East Texas to Georgia and then on into the Atlantic. A tropical wave is moving ashore over Mexico, To our north, another slow moving cold front extends from the central Rockies across the Texas Panhandle and Oklahoma eastward to the Ohio Valley and the East Coast. High pressure is in control behind the front over the central Plains and northwest Rockies.
At the upper-levels, we see a high pressures ridge building over the western third of the U.S. with a broad low pressure trough over the eastern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. To the southwest, we see Hurricane Odile moving over Baja California.
Cloudy, humid conditions will prevail with a good chance of rain through Thursday as the system in the Gulf moves into Mexico, bringing deeper low level moisture back to our area.
As yesterday, the Tropical Atlantic Basin remains relatively quiet this morning with the exception of Hurricane Edouard.
At 5 am AST, Hurricane Edouard was centered near 30.2 N and 57.3 W. The system was moving north-northwest at 13-mph. This should keep it well east of the U.S. At the present time, sustained winds are up to 110-mph with a central pressure at 963 MB (28.44").
Finally, a tropical wave and 1010 MB low in the eastern Tropical Atlantic is currently struggling with wind shear, but the National Hurricane Center thinks that it will have some chance of development as it moves west over the coming five days and is giving the system a 20% chance for developing into a tropical cyclone later this week.